Monday’s analyst calls: Nvidia named a top pick, upgrade of cheap retail stock
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(This is CNBC Pro’s live coverage of Monday’s analyst calls and Wall Street chatter. Please refresh every 20-30 minutes to view the latest posts.) Analysts kicked off the week with an upgrade to a major electronics retailer. Jefferies raised its rating on Best Buy to buy from hold, and its new price target implies about 20% upside. TD Cowen, meanwhile, named Nvidia a top pick, with the firm expecting the chipmaker to build on its monster 2023 performance in the new year. Check out the latest calls and chatter below. 6:06 a.m. ET: Piper Sandler downgrades on Domino’s Pizza Domino’s Pizza shares may be approaching a ceiling after a period of outperformance, according to Piper Sandler. The firm downgraded shares to neutral from overweight. This comes on the back of the pizza chain’s Investor Day event. His price target of $400 is just 1.3% higher than Friday’s close. “While it is likely true that DPZ is one of the only (if not the only) restaurant concepts that is likely to have accelerating domestic SSS and unit growth next year (and kudos to management), we believe that this dynamic is very well understood at this point, and is also arguably priced into the shares at current levels,” analyst Brian Mullan wrote. Shares are up by 14% in 2023. To be sure, Mullan clarified that he is not negative on Domino’s Pizza’s business or strategy. He added that he may be stepping away from the stock too early, but doesn’t have confidence Domino’s valuation multiple premium compared to its peers will hold in 2024. “Hence, when we say the Risk-Reward is balanced at current levels, this dynamic is front and center in our minds; and with limited upside implied by our updated price target of $400, we move our rating on DPZ to Neutral with this note,” Mullan said. — Hakyung Kim 5:49 a.m. ET: Evercore ISI upgrades HP shares, sees big gains ahead The PC market is poised to recover next year, and HP Inc. is well positioned to see tailwinds from this trend, according to Evercore ISI. Analyst Amit Daryanani upgraded the stock to outperform from in line. He also raised his price target to $40 from $33, suggesting shares could gain 36% from Friday’s close. “We see a host of tailwinds in CY24 including a strong COVID-19 replacement cycle, windows 12 launch (expectation is June), and AI PC (AI PCs expected to ship in H2),” Daryanani wrote in a Sunday note. HP also could see buyback momentum if it returns to its repurchasing shares in 2024, the analyst added. Shares of the PC maker are up 9% this year, lagging the S & P 500’s 19.9% advance. HPQ YTD mountain HPQ in 2023 — Hakyung Kim 5:45 a.m. ET: RBC upgrades Pinterest, calls it an ‘attractive’ investment story The lines between browsing and buying are blurring for Pinterest users, and RBC thinks this could mean big gains for the stock. RBC upgraded shares to outperform from sector perform and increased its price target by $14 to $46. The new price target implies shares rallying more than 31% from where they closed on Friday. “With investors thirsty for non-megacap ideas for ’24, PINS stands out as a way to play the shift of intent-based ad platforms chasing impulse shopping’s $241B ad spend,” analyst Brad Erickson wrote in a note. To be sure, Erickson wrote the transition from a search to shopping platform will be a multi-year process. Nonetheless, he thinks the impact of this shift could be “seismic.” “Through the combination of a) reducing conversion/purchase friction through direct links and b) adding significant new product supply with new ad partners, particularly Amazon, we believe PINS has an outsized opportunity to capitalize on this shift,” said Erickson. Shares jumped 3.2% Monday during premarket trading. — Hakyung Kim 5:35 a.m. ET: TD Cowen names Nvidia a top pick Nvidia was the leader in AI this year, and TD Cowen doesn’t see that changing in 2024. Analyst Matthew Ramsay named the chipmaker a best idea for the new year, reiterating an outperforming rating on the stock. His price target of $700 per share implies upside of 47.3% from Friday’s close. Ramsay pointed to three factors driving his call: “The company is accelerating its hardware product roadmap cadence (with associated CUDA/other software) to a less-than-one-year cadence beginning with Blackwell in C2024.” “We believe the market remains very early in the era(s) of accelerated computing and generative AI where NVIDIA has a clear leadership position.” “We believe the current valuation near the low-end of its five-year range on most metrics already contemplates the potential for a ‘digestion’ year in C2025 despite our belief that year will be another strong growth year for the company across the franchise.” Nvidia has been the clear winner of 2023, surging more than 200% to lead the S & P 500 higher. NVDA YTD mountain NVDA in 2023 — Fred Imbert 5:35 a.m. ET: Jefferies upgrades Best Buy Best Buy is a call that “doesn’t take much to work,” says Jefferies. The firm upgraded shares to buy from hold in a Monday note. Its new price target of $89 from $29 implied 20% upside from Friday’s close. Analyst Jonathan Matuszewski cited conviction that a “replacement cycle” for pandemic buys is soon set to begin, as well as the company’s strong market share. “Demand linked to rising consumer interest in A.I. will be a ‘cherry on top’, hitting the P & L in C4Q’24 with a stock ‘halo’ prior. Web traffic, search trends, and checks support our view,” Matuszewski said. Shares jumped more than 2% on Monday before the bell. Year to date, it is down nearly 9%. — Hakyung Kim
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